Read the first 4 paragraphs... then after reading the first sentence in the 5th, you will find yourself in a paradigm shift, .. ya in the past you might have joked it's all rigged, caught yourself saying the rich get richer and poor get poorer; even though the thread of your American born ideal that, "anyone can prosper if they work hard," kept you from actually truly believing the rigged conjecture thrown around... well guess what, start believing it, otherwise, start believing the biggest most powerful and wealthy "people"(thanks citizens united) in our economy lucked out... short article from forex live I'm sure I'm wasting these thoughts at Wendy's, or I'm 20 days late on realizing this, but some of you autists may appreciate it.. Tldr; sell calls and buy puts to 245, wait for a day or two.. then bull gang hard
The Daily Autist, By An Autist, For Autists. 03/24/20
The Daily Autist
Hot Off The Spectrum
TLDR of the News to Inform Your Moves (Monday was a lot. Even my post is long)
What’s up sluts. I’m back with another burst of autism. I’ve been Rick fuggin Rollin in the tendies (AKA not hemorrhaging money) and these posts have been fairly accurate. I’ll be adding plays to the NostraLosses section as a result to bring more clarity to my dumbass takes. FIRST THINGS FUCKING FIRST THE ORIGINAL AUTIST ARTIST WHO DREW THE OLD LOGO HAS COME TO LIGHT IM SO FUCKING HAPPY. We’ll never get it back, but sometimes closure on it’s own feels good enough. What am I a fucking teenager? The rest of the sub was shit yesterday/this morning.I was shadowbanned for posting “Fear mongering Corona Content,” and yet 75% of the sub’s hot posts are exactly that but with even less info than I had. Rest is memes. No plays or info. Honestly kinda sad. https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/fnpz20/hey_yall_i_drew_the_original_baby_ama/ Obligatory Corona Dump (Monday news could not stop throating COVID content) Things are in such a Twilight Zone State Amazon is getting credit for being “altruistic,” like they didn’t hike up prices since late January themselves and only altered their practices once Trump threatened Defense Production Act (DPA) notice they’re also only suspending, so once things are just slightly back to normal please price gouge errthang. https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3076638/amazon-suspends-almost-4000-seller-accounts-unfairly-priced-products Costco is also getting unwarranted credit. They won’t take back your tower of toilet paper or tub of hand sanitizer, which COSTS them money they already made. Did they have any problem hiking the price, refusing to limit sales per person, not give their employees PPE, or donate any relief from their excess food products due to banning eating at the location and numbers going down? Nah? ok. So the good guy is the company that profited off of fear and won’t provide the minimum financial relief to those who thought it was that extreme. Stop demonizing your fellow worker citizens. https://brobible.com/culture/article/costco-toilet-paper-returns-hoarders/ Companies getting high praise and both articles implying a return to normalcy soon. How does that affect the markets? Normies are being told everything is okay and they will follow suit. Is everything okay? Absolutely not. These MFs in charge just announced unlimited QE yesterday nothing’s okay financially. Retard normie pump coming in. Financial News: Trump is saying that unless 10,000 die in the streets soon he’s gonna “re-open” the economy after the 15 days. At this point it’s a bit of a walking Onion article. Thursday?” ITS A WAR WE WILL CAPTURE AND KNIFE COVID’S ASSHOLE”. Friday? “This is serious. I do not want to use any drastic measures but I will. This is very verry serious.” Monday? “Isn’t being stuck inside fucking wack? Let’s open the pit up bro” I recommend watching the video with subtitles to get a transcript of his speech patterns. https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/america-will-again-and-soon-be-open-for-id701434357?chan=9qsux198 I predicted the Fed couldn’t devalue the dollar as fast as other countries could want it and it seems to be holding up. A very small dip from the news they’re willing to print unlimited moneys? The global economy is in trouble if that's still the stability bearer. Puts are lookin good, but they need to be farther out. 04/17 soonest for my comfort. Especially with the temporary re-open of the US economy. Seeing Reuters use “money bazooka,’ multiple times in the last week has been fantastic. https://www.reuters.com/article/global-forex/forex-dollar-slips-as-feds-money-bazooka-raises-hopes-of-easier-cash-supply-idUSL4N2BH2AF Italy’s debt, tax, and unemployment relief are all being held up by congressional disputes and an ability to only handle a tenth of the paperwork that comes in. Sound familiar? Maybe ominous? The population density in regions of Italy is our closest analog to how a free (eat my dick South Korea) country is gonna get hit. Their healthcare system is also tainted by for-profit companies and insurance so it’s also pretty similar medical coverage wise per capita. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-banks-insight/banks-struggle-to-ride-to-the-rescue-in-europes-cash-crunch-battle-idUSKBN21B0OE United Airlines is threatening to fire workers if they don’t get a bailout. I hope to fuck this is the tipping point and the government forces United to hand over their payroll list so the gov. Provide financial relief to their employees while United liquidates their assets or sells to some Saudi Conglomerate. Effect on market? PUTS ON UNITED BITCH THEY GOIN OUT https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/20/819401028/united-airlines-threatens-to-cut-jobs-if-coronavirus-aid-package-isnt-passed(From 03/20 but was drowned out by other news. Looks more and more likely airlines won’t be bailed out) Everyday Fox business posts something for Boomers to buy more Ford or Dine stocks (idk what old people buy) and today they have some good ammo. Overnight futures were up. Pre-market today as of 06:31 EST is $234.72 after touching 238. Looks like today is going to be the bull trap day as the rumors of stimulus are hot again. If it gets passed I expect a 245-248 top before the unemployment numbers Thursday fist everyone. Market effect? Short term calls as everyone gets high on optimism and long term puts for when they come down. https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-futures-gain-ground-as-congress-moves-closer-to-a-stimulus-deal Crypto is taking off after tanking yesterday. Overnight rally (NZ markets followed by Asian markets) carried it up 14% in the last 16 hours. It started to rise slowly after the QE announcement but really flew overnight and this morning. Cooling off now but already had a dip to 6650 and right back up to 6700+ While not always correlated, crypto is a key indicator right now in speculative confidence while people are budgeting for maintaining their lives versus increasing their future wealth. No link because every crypto site is owned by a Ponzi schemer. Fight me and my tinfoil fucking hat. Here are some squigglies and bars https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BITBAY My NostraLosses Prediction? The rumors of stimulus and the passed unlimited QE will provide market optimism today and tomorrow. Thursday’s unemployment numbers is the next scheduled big news so I wouldn’t get any short term puts unless scalping. If anything unexpected news could bring the market even higher with it being random good news versus any random catastrophic news. Market open will be up about 6% from the previous day’s close, so I expect a short term dip at open which would be a good spot to get quick calls to then ride the pump. Market closes above 235 and if stimulus passes along with more false optimism statements by Trump there’s possibly a sharp bull run to 245-248 by end of Wednesday. Plays to follow: SPY: 240c 03/27 once the first dip of day happens. If your bankroll allows for a few days farther out I would go for it. If SPY does hit 240, SELL call and BUY put for 228 04/01 at soonest. DIA: 190P 04/17 It hasn’t fallen nearly as hard as it should (another 5% imo) and the industries making it up are going to have numbers showing how bad the payroll cuts and profit loss has been. During today’s pump get some not so fucking expensive puts (made sure not to say cheap) Any Stupid Tech Company: Retarded OTM call for 03/27 or later. With so many people being stuck at home the last week or so the tech companies are outperforming the market with the idea that: The high user rate means more $$$, but if there’s more people on because they are not working or laid off, how do they have the money to buy shitty sponsored products on their feed? The kicker here is ads have always had near useless efficacy rates on social media so the fact they will continue to do a shit job might not change much. Anyway people are fucking dumb and tech gonna continue to rally this week. Signed, someone with 1.5k in TWTR Puts expiring over next 4 weeks. Most people don’t even give you one play. I’m giving you multiple ways to lose your money. TLDR of my TLDR: Companies who profited off the crisis getting karma points for no reason. Normies think the crisis will be over next Friday. International currencies are still erratic but the markets are rallying today globally (sign of lacking underlying stability for said rally). Italy can’t pass anything or handle the paperwork from their previously set up process (AKA USA in 7-10 days under current stimulus proposals) and they don’t have a solution in sight. Stimulus has everyone rock hard for calls again, ride the short term rise and pick up puts while you’re up there. Just be a long term gay bear experimenting with bulls depending on the day. Results on my thoughts from last post 03/23: I was incorrect on circuit breaker open but was only 1% away and it did run up mid-day as called. So if you sold at 218 to buy calls to sell a few hours later, we nailed it boys. If you were aiming for price instead of time, it never hit 234 again which was a key test and you’re likely sitting on a fat red option right now. I was about half right which is all you need to be. I’ve also switched up Market affect and effect because I’m retarded and am unsure which is right anymore. Nvm grammarly fixed it. And again, I mean this sincerely,
After reviewing video interviews and reading people's perception of the OMG Network, I wanted to derive certain values of the markets which OmiseGO is attempting to enter in 4 main sections. As well the potential market penetration and expectation once the OMG Network goes live. 1) Peer to Peer Transactions This portion is to allow any individual who uses the OMG Network to trade with another individual by transferring funds. The following is yearly trading volumes through various companies and applications: E-Transfer - $63 Billion E-Transfer 2016 Volume Western Union - $80 Billion Western Union 2016 Volume PayPal - $354 Billion PayPal 2016 Volume AliPay/WeChat - $3 Trillion AliPay/WeChat 2016 Volume P2P Total - $3.497 Trillion 2) Current Omise Partnerships I won't go into much detail with the following as it was already mentioned. All the current partnerships that Omise currently has will be using the OMG Network, therefore all their financial activity will be transacted. Analysis of the Merchants of Omise Partners Total - Approx $30 Billion 3) Foreign Exchange Trading This is the most exciting aspect of OmiseGO on which they will be providing to the masses. The ability to transact any currency into the currency of their choice. This is through their White Label Wallet SDK that companies will be able to create their unique applications on top of the OMG Network. Correct me if I am wrong, but this could also allow the use of their White Label Wallet SDK to create a Foreign Exchange for trading purposes. The amount that is traded on Foreign Currency each day is roughly $3 Trillion. Reuters Foreign Echange Volume FX Total - $1095 Trillion 4) Crypto Exchange Trading Lastly, similar to the last point, there can easily be a Decentralized Crypto Exchange that can be created using the OMG network. Through looking at volumes on a 30 Day Period, it is easy to estimate a yearly projection. The previous 30 Days there was $853.2 Billion traded on various markets according to Coin Market Cap. Therefore the estimation would place a yearly total as being $10.38 Trillion over 365 Days of Trading. Coin Market Cap CX Total - $10.38 Trillion Overall Estimation of all 4 Sections - $1,108.907 Trillion. Therefore once the Network goes live, that is an estimated total amount, that can be eventually transacted. However it is not likely that the OMG Network will transact all of the above. If we assume we only obtain 1% of the Market by the end of 2018 in each sector, the OMG Network can be transacting close to $11.089 Trillion. Dependent on the Transaction Fee that is associated with the OMG Network, the following amounts could be distributed to Token Holders for each token. For Example: Total Token Supply: 140,245,398 * (Estimation of 75% of Tokens Staked) = 105,184,048.5 Transaction Fee: 1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.01 = 110.89 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $1054.25 .5% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.005 = 55.445 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $527.12 .1% - 11.089 Trillion * 0.001 = 11.089 Billion / 105,184,048.50 = $105.42 People have been mentioning Transaction Fee Rates to be 0.5% as the base. This means there is potentially a much smaller Transaction Fee that could be obtained that makes the OMG Network competitive and much more focused on providing user more for their daily use. I believe the Transaction Fee should be much less, but still shows the value OMG could be delivering to the world in the future. Conclusion Based on the above information it clearly shows what potential markets we could be helping by lowering fees to everyone on a global scale. I did not include Credit Card Transactions as that requires a Credit system, as this Network would mainly be dependent on Debit Transactions, meaning individuals already have Fiat/Crypto/Reward Points in their possession. Credit amounts can be calculated later once there are banks using this application with their Credit Services. As well there is currently no market for trading reward points, therefore it can not be accurately estimated on how much it will be used. If you have any comments or questions on what I have stated please let me know. The above is information that I have found and thought it may benefit the community from understanding the possibility and the markets that OmiseGO will be aiding in the future. Please discuss any information that I may have missed and might find beneficial to add. EDIT: Thank you ii_OiO_ii for correcting my mistake on the FX Amount. I have made the adjustments.
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